Potentially endogenous borrowing and developing country sovereign credit ratings - July 2005

نویسنده

  • Gregory D Sutton
چکیده

.................................................................................................................................................. ix Introduction...............................................................................................................................................1 I. The determinants of foreign currency sovereign ratings: theory, data and OLS estimates .....................................................................................................................2 A. Theory........................................................................................................................2 B. Data and OLS estimates of a rating equation ...........................................................3 II. A structural model for the joint determination of the average rating and external debt/income ratio .................................................................................................................6 III. Differences in rating behaviour across agencies.................................................................9 Conclusions............................................................................................................................................10 References .............................................................................................................................................11

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Determinants and Impact of Sovereign Credit Ratings

n recent years, the demand for sovereign credit rat-ings—the risk assessments assigned by the credit rating agencies to the obligations of central govern-ments—has increased dramatically. More governments with greater default risk and more companies domiciled in riskier host countries are borrowing in international bond markets. Although foreign government officials generally cooperate with the...

متن کامل

Newswire messages and sovereign credit ratings: Evidence from European countries under austerity reform programmes

a r t i c l e i n f o The paper examines the role of newswire messages during the European debt crisis. In particular, this study quantifies how this news metric, revealed by statements electronically recorded, as well as by newspaper articles, affects credit ratings. Through a sample of three European countries with sovereign debt problems and under strict austerity programmes, i.e., Greece, I...

متن کامل

Do Sovereign Credit Ratings Affect the Composition and Maturity of Sovereign Borrowing?

In this paper, I develop a theoretical model to analyze the optimal choice between bank loans and bond finance for a sovereign debtor. The model describes a market that is subject to moral hazard and adverse selection. I model the choice between the two debt instruments allowing for debt renegotiation in the event of financial distress, with the possibility of default. The model incorporates pr...

متن کامل

The Real Effects of Credit Ratings: The Sovereign Ceiling Channel∗

We show that sovereign debt impairments can have a significant impact on financial markets and real economies through a credit ratings channel. Specifically, we find that firms reduce their investment and reliance on credit markets due to a rising cost of debt capital following a sovereign rating downgrade. We identify these effects by exploiting exogenous variation on corporate ratings due to ...

متن کامل

Do Global Credit Rating Agencies Think Globally? The Information Content of Firm Ratings around the World

What is the information content of firm ratings? We disentangle the relative contribution to firms’ ratings of sovereign risks and individual firms’ performance indicators, reportedly employed by rating agencies. We reach three conclusions. First, sovereign risks’ contribution is disproportionately greater in developing countries vis-à-vis developed countries. Second, even controlling for the “...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2005